Not so springlike
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone presents this week’s weather forecast.
Sunday Night: Low 30-36. Clear. E 5-15 mph
Monday: High 55-57. Sunny. E 15-25 mph
Monday Night: Low 34-38. Clouds. NE 10-20 mph
Tuesday: High 52-54. Clouds. NE 10-20 mph
Tuesday Night: Low 38-41. Clouds. NE 5-15 mph
Wednesday: High 62-66. Sunny. S 10-20 mph
Wednesday Night: Low 41-43. T- Storms. S 5-15 mph
The front where it is expected to be at 2:20 p.m. Monday
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone updated his forecast tonight at 7 p.m.:
The next storm potential is for a bit of snow possible on Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning.
As of right now the 18Z GFS, 18Z NAM, 12Z GEM and 12Z EURO are all hits for CT for snow on Monday. The GEM and GFS have the most perceptible water where as the NAM and EURO have a tad bit less.
As far as snow totals are concerned this is going to be mostly a coastal event, upwards to two inches is possible.
The models are still very inconsistent with amounts, very tough call for Monday. Start time will be Monday afternoon, morning commute will be fine, but the PM commute will be a tough one!
I will try and throw together a snowfall map after the 00Z models come out!
Sunday Night: Low 30-33. Clouds. E 5-10 mph
Monday: High 40-41. Snow (70%). NE 5-15 mph
Monday Night: Low 29-30. Snow (50%). NW 5-15 mph
Tuesday: High 47-48. P. Sunny. NW 5-15 mph
Tuesday Night: Low 28-33. Few Clouds. NW 5-15 mph
Wednesday: High 49-50. M. Sunny. NW 5-15 mph
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone is watching another weather front coming our way. Here’s his latest report (mostly in geek speak).
The next storm potential is for a bit of snow possible on Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning.
As of 6 p.m. Saturday, 18Z GFS, 12Z GEM and hits for CT snow on Monday. The latest 18Z NAM is out to sea (Not the most reliable model) and the 12Z EURO is now out to sea. Will be interesting to see what the 00Z runs bring. Still something to watch!.
The GEM and GFS have the most perceptible water where as the NAM and EURO have nothing, too early to talk about snow totals. Something to watch over the next 24 hours to see how this storm sets up.
Yuck, snow on Monday? NICE on Wednesday
More Snow?
From Meteorologist Kevin Arnone:
Flurries during the overnight hours Wednesday Night, very possible for a coating in some Towns, so don’t be surprised if you wake up to some very very light accumulations on the ground (Trace or coating) but most people won’t see anything Thursday Morning.
During the day on Thursday a storm will develop off shore a bit to far away to impact Connecticut significantly but it’s very possible some of the energy may just clip SE CT. Enough to maybe drop upwards to an inch.
Something to watch during the morning on Thursday to see where that storm sets up and how it will impact CT.
I threw together a quick map to show the potential of what the storm on Thursday may bring!
Are you trying to make plans for the next few days, but the “S” word is concerning you? Relax, Meteorologist Kevin Arnone to the rescue giving you a detailed look at what to expect Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday (Day and Night).
Monday: High 36-37. Increasing Clouds. SE 5-15 mph
Monday Night: Low 30-33. Snow. E 10-20 mph
Tuesday: High 42. Snow/Wintry Mix Inland/ Rain Shore. NE 15-25 mph
Tuesday Night: Low 26-28. Wintry Mix. NE 15-25 mph, Gust 30+
Wednesday: High 41-44. M. Sunny. NE 15-25 mph
Wednesday Night: Low 23-26. Clear. NE 10-20 mph
Since returning from vacation, Meteorologist Kevin Arnone has been busy watching the weather maps and keeping Orange informed of what to expect weather wise over the next few days.
Here is his latest report:
Next storm potential is Monday Night into Tuesday.
The GFS, NAM and EURO are in pretty good agreement with wintry weather beginning Monday Night and continuing during the overnight hours and eventually turning over to a mix then rain before coming to an end Tuesday Afternoon.
Start times, 8-10 PM Monday Night for the shore and 10 PM – 12 AM inland, Change over starting on the shore by 6-9 AM and Inland just a tad later.
All Precipitation should taper off during the afternoon hours on Tuesday.
Good chance for school delays and closures for Tuesday Morning.
Below is a snowfall map of what could be expected before the switch over to rain occurs.
Slushy mix, possible delays
From our meteorologist Kevin Arnone:
Next storm potential is Monday Night into Tuesday.
I have been on vacation the past ten days so I can’t tell you how well the models have been handling this storm but as of today the models are pretty consistent with wintry weather impacting Connecticut Monday night into Tuesday.
As of now seems to be mostly an Inland head ache, shore looks like it will stay all rain.
I will be updating frequently due to my absence 
Welcome Back Kevin
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone loves forecasting weather just about as much as he loves going on vacation.
Even as he packs his bags, he still took time to file this report so we would be ready for what’s to come. Here’s what he has to say:
This will be my last update for the storm as well as for the week. I am on vacation until the 16th of March and will not be able to update my website. I am going on a cruise and I am lucky enough to leave out of New York in which I will be experiencing some monster waves from this nor’easter. I am forecasting 20-30 ft waves!!!! I will try and take pictures for the website. Would you believe that I missed the Blizzard because I was in Vegas and now I’m missing this storm :(
After this storm passes which will be during the day on Friday the next shot of rain will be on Monday/Tuesday on next week. The 11th and 12th. Hopefully it doesn’t change LOL!
OK now on the nor’easter. Rain/Snow showers will start as early as noon. However I don’t expect to see anything steady falling in CT until after 5 PM in which it will start snowing for the entire state of CT. Snow will continue throughout the overnight hours as well as the wind will pick up a lot, check below to see how fast the wind will roar in your town.
Two high tide cycles during this storm may lead to moderate flooding on the coasts, check below to see if you live in those towns. Expect power outages and tree damage. Under my advertisements tab you can check out two landscaping companies that will plow your driveway or business as well as tend to any storm damage you may have. Let them know you saw their ad on CTForecast. The strongest winds and heaviest snow will occur during the overnight hours on Wednesday!
As far as during the day on Thursday is concerned, winds will still be strong but the precipitation will be very light and little to no accumulation will be added on. Mostly light snow inland and a mix/rain on the shore. The AM commute will be very slippery, please leave yourself extra time in the morning. Most of the snow accumulation will fall Wednesday Night. Lingering snow/rain showers will continue until early Friday morning, but no accumulation is expected.
Please everyone be safe, and I will be back on March 16th to continue forecasting the weather!
Check out the weather maps below for a better understanding of what Kevin is expecting for us.
Let’s hope we don’t anything like this on Wednesday.
Our Meteorologist Kevin Arnone submitted his latest forecast regarding a nasty storm heading this way. Will it be Track 1 or Track 2?
Orange Live: I vote for Track 1
The latest 00Z Euro on Monday has the storm going out to sea, but strong winds and coastal flooding will still be in the forecast for Wednesday night/Thursday even if the EURO is right. (Canada and NAM Model agree with Euro). The latest 00Z GFS on Monday has a direct impact for CT where we could see significant amount of snow, wind and flooding. Very powerful Nor’ easter if this plays out.
At this point there are two possible storm tracks, the models really have been all over the place concerning the storm. The exact placement isn’t know yet because the models have been flip flopping quite a bit, but I can tell you with confidence that this monster storm will surely develop and depending on the exact track could mean major problems for CT Wednesday/Thursday.
Track 1 would mean the storm goes out to sea and at most here in CT we would see clouds, flurries, wind and minor coastal flooding. Track 2 would mean storm impacts CT where we would see typical Nor’easter weather, heavy snow, strong winds and coastal flooding!
Meteorologist Kevin Arnone offers this look at an upcoming weather system.
Both the GFS and EURO models have been consistently projecting the development of a significant Low Pressure System that really starts to ramp up off the coast of Virginia. (If this were to play out) Even before this storm develops to it’s potential it would mean winds/rain/ice/snow for many states from North Dakota to North Carolina. However when it moves off the coast of Virginia it’s projected to develop into a very large and powerful storm with a lot of tropical moisture. Typical Nor’easter!
The models have been hinting at this storm for the past week but consistently really kept the development of the storm too far off shore to impact CT, at most we would see some clouds and maybe drizzle/flurries.
However Thursday I began to notice a trend in the GFS model, a more northern track. Both the 00Z GFS and 00Z EURO Thursday Night models are beginning to trend the storm to move more northern which could mean big trouble for CT if this were to hold true.
I have had my eye on this storm for the past week and Thursday was the first time a computer model has it hitting Connecticut with signifiant weather, so at this point it’s just something to watch, which I will be doing for all of you
The latest 12Z Euro on Saturday and 12Z GFS on Saturday are keeping this monster storm off shore. A bit to far to really impact CT but still a major storm for the area of Virginia and off the shore especially.
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