Weather » Orange Live


Mar 022013
 

Screen shot 2013-03-02 at 12.33.07 PMMeteorologist Kevin Arnone offers this look at an upcoming weather system.

Both the GFS and EURO models have been consistently projecting the development of a significant Low Pressure System that really starts to ramp up off the coast of Virginia.  (If this were to play out) Even before this storm develops to it’s potential it would mean winds/rain/ice/snow for many states from North Dakota to North Carolina.  However when it moves off the coast of Virginia it’s projected to develop into a very large and powerful storm with a lot of tropical moisture. Typical Nor’easter!

The models have been hinting at this storm for the past week but consistently really kept the development of the storm too far off shore to impact CT, at most we would see some clouds and maybe drizzle/flurries.

However Thursday I began to notice a trend in the GFS model, a more northern track. Both the 00Z GFS and 00Z EURO Thursday Night models are beginning to trend the storm to move more northern which could mean big trouble for CT if this were to hold true.

I have had my eye on this storm for the past week and Thursday  was the first time a computer model has it hitting Connecticut with signifiant weather, so at this point it’s just something to watch, which I will be doing for all of you :)  

The latest 12Z Euro on Saturday and 12Z GFS on Saturday are keeping this monster storm off shore.  A bit to far to really impact CT but still a major storm for the area of Virginia and off the shore especially.

Feb 142013
 

 

 From Meteorologist Kevin Arnone’s weather page ctforecast4u
Next weather threat is for Saturday.  As of right now I’m very confident in no major nor’easter which were the first thoughts earlier this week, but the three main computer models (GFS, NAM and EURO) are all pretty consistent with painting a very light snow event starting Saturday morning into Saturday night.  
The earlier runs during the day on Wednesday were trying to put a few pieces of unorganized energy together but really were flip flopping back and forth.  So being the weather nerd that I am, I stayed up late Wednesday night and waited for all 3 models 00Z runs. All three are consistent as of right now with a early Saturday start and ending by midnight.

Just something to watch right now, I’ll see what the data does tomorrow before setting anything in stone, but I don’t want you to be caught off guard, so I figured I would share my thoughts.  

As of right now seems to be a light event, couple inches at the most. No major storm :(